Combat Edge Intelligence

Benardo Sopaj vs Nkosi Ndebele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record13-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
66"Reach75"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamNova MMA Academy

What's at stake

Nkosi Ndebele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Benardo Sopaj carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benardo SopajNow 1675
If they win+17→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1660
Nkosi NdebeleNow 1692
If they win+15→ 1707
If they lose-17→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
2.53
Takedown avg.
TBD
71%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Benardo SopajNkosi Ndebele
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Nkosi Ndebele75%
Benardo Sopaj 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Nkosi Ndebele a 75% favorite over Benardo Sopaj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Nkosi Ndebele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1675, a 17-point edge.

Benardo Sopaj enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Benardo Sopaj finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nkosi Ndebele 54%.

Nkosi Ndebele carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.