
Benardo Sopaj vs Nkosi Ndebele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Nkosi Ndebele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Benardo Sopaj carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Nkosi Ndebele a 75% favorite over Benardo Sopaj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Nkosi Ndebele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1675, a 17-point edge.
Benardo Sopaj enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Benardo Sopaj finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nkosi Ndebele 54%.
Nkosi Ndebele carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.