Combat Edge Intelligence

Benny Orozco vs Lucas Corbage

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benny OrozcoNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Lucas CorbageNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Benny OrozcoLucas Corbage
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
5 (71%)
Submission
4 (31%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Benny Orozco54%
Lucas Corbage 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Benny Orozco a 54% favorite over Lucas Corbage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.

Benny Orozco enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Benny Orozco finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Corbage 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.