Biaggio Ali Walsh vs Brandon Jenkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record18-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme Couture MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1569
If they lose-23→ 1521
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Biaggio Ali WalshBrandon Jenkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Biaggio Ali Walsh63%
Brandon Jenkins 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Biaggio Ali Walsh a 63% favorite over Brandon Jenkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Jenkins's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1554), separated by just 10 points.
Biaggio Ali Walsh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Jenkins 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.