
Bobby Nash vs Chris Mixan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Bobby Nash is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chris Mixan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 62% favorite over Bobby Nash in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bobby Nash's way (46%).
Bobby Nash holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1583, a 26-point edge.
Chris Mixan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bobby Nash finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Chris Mixan 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.