Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Karlos Vémola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karlos Vémola
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Karlos Vémola

“The Terminator”

38-9-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1721Good

Tale of the tape

18-4-1Record38-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1705 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Karlos VémolaNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovKarlos Vémola
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
3 (17%)
Submission
20 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov61%
Karlos Vémola 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 61% favorite over Karlos Vémola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karlos Vémola's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1721), separated by just 2 points.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vémola 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.