Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Brandon Thatch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Brandon ThatchNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
58%
Strike defense
53%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.36
25%
Takedown accuracy
67%
55%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićBrandon Thatch
1600165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
11 (44%)
Submission
3 (27%)
6 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Thatch53%
Bojan Veličković 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Thatch a 53% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bojan Veličković's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1649), separated by just 3 points.

Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Thatch 100%.

Bojan Veličković carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.