Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Erik Koch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Koch
us

Erik Koch

“The Phoenix”

16-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record16-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamRoufusport· 1684 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Erik KochNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
35%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.82
58%
Strike defense
47%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.02
25%
Takedown accuracy
43%
55%
Takedown defense
82%
0.50
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićErik Koch
1600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
11 (44%)
Submission
8 (50%)
6 (24%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Erik Koch56%
Bojan Veličković 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Erik Koch a 56% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bojan Veličković's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1645), separated by just 7 points.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Erik Koch 75%.

Bojan Veličković carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.