Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Josh Koscheck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamDethrone Base Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
35%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
58%
Strike defense
63%
0.67
Takedown avg.
2.46
25%
Takedown accuracy
48%
55%
Takedown defense
64%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićJosh Koscheck
1600165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
11 (44%)
Submission
4 (24%)
6 (24%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Koscheck56%
Bojan Veličković 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Koscheck a 56% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bojan Veličković's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1644), separated by just 8 points.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.

Bojan Veličković carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.