Bokang Masunyane vs Clayton Carpenter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'1"Height5'5"
63"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bokang MasunyaneClayton Carpenter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bokang Masunyane71%
Clayton Carpenter 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bokang Masunyane a 71% favorite over Clayton Carpenter in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clayton Carpenter's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.
Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bokang Masunyane finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Clayton Carpenter 75%.
Clayton Carpenter carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.