Bolaji Oki vs Nikolas Motta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Da Vinci FightingTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bolaji OkiNikolas Motta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bolaji Oki60%
Nikolas Motta 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bolaji Oki a 60% favorite over Nikolas Motta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1642), separated by just 0 points.
Bolaji Oki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bolaji Oki finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nikolas Motta 67%.
Bolaji Oki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.