Combat Edge Intelligence

Borislav Nikolić vs Michael McDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
SecutorTeamLast Stand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Borislav NikolićNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Michael McDonaldNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.45

Trajectory

Borislav NikolićMichael McDonald
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
10 (53%)
8 (50%)
Submission
6 (32%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Borislav Nikolić60%
Michael McDonald 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Borislav Nikolić a 60% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1691), separated by just 2 points.

Borislav Nikolić enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Borislav Nikolić finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.