Combat Edge Intelligence

Borislav Nikolić vs Dwight Joseph

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record16-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SecutorTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Borislav NikolićNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Borislav NikolićDwight Joseph
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
8 (50%)
Submission
3 (19%)
1 (6%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Borislav Nikolić58%
Dwight Joseph 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Borislav Nikolić a 58% favorite over Dwight Joseph in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1690), separated by just 3 points.

Borislav Nikolić enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Borislav Nikolić finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Joseph 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.