Brad Katona vs Justin Wetzell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record12-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
64"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad KatonaJustin Wetzell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Wetzell60%
Brad Katona 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Wetzell a 60% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Katona's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1645), separated by just 3 points.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Justin Wetzell 42%.
Justin Wetzell carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.