Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Lewis vs Garrett Armfield

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Superman's MMATeamSpringfield Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon LewisNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.10
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Brandon LewisGarrett Armfield
1600202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
1 (14%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Lewis51%
Garrett Armfield 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Lewis a 51% favorite over Garrett Armfield in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Garrett Armfield's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Lewis finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Armfield 80%.

Garrett Armfield carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.