Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Lewis vs Jay Perrin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
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Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record13-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'9"
64"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Superman's MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon LewisNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Jay PerrinNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon LewisJay Perrin
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (43%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Lewis62%
Jay Perrin 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Lewis a 62% favorite over Jay Perrin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Brandon Lewis finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jay Perrin 46%.

Jay Perrin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.