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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Vera vs Fabiano Scherner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brandon Vera
us

Brandon Vera

“The Truth”

16-10-0HeavyweightONE

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record11-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
246 lbsWeight257 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGracie Barra Portland

What's at stake

Brandon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Fabiano Scherner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brandon VeraNow 1617
If they win+8→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1601
Fabiano SchernerNow 1493
If they win+21→ 1514
If they lose-11→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
1.31
56%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
53%
Strike defense
38%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.09
53%
Takedown accuracy
33%
60%
Takedown defense
40%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon VeraFabiano Scherner
1500155016001650201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (6%)
Submission
6 (55%)
4 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Vera70%
Fabiano Scherner 30%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Vera a 70% favorite over Fabiano Scherner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Brandon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1493, a 124-point edge.

Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Fabiano Scherner 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.