Brandon Vera vs Fabiano Scherner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record11-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
246 lbsWeight257 lbs
Alliance MMATeamGracie Barra Portland
What's at stake
Brandon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Fabiano Scherner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+21→ 1513
If they lose-11→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon VeraFabiano Scherner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Vera72%
Fabiano Scherner 28%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Vera a 72% favorite over Fabiano Scherner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Brandon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1492, a 122-point edge.
Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Fabiano Scherner 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.