Brendan O'Reilly vs Mitchell Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gamebred Submission FightingTeamThe Academy MN· 1568 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendan O'ReillyMitchell Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitchell Wilson76%
Brendan O'Reilly 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitchell Wilson a 76% favorite over Brendan O'Reilly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1528), separated by just 1 points.
Brendan O'Reilly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brendan O'Reilly finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.