Brendan O'Reilly vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record14-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
69,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Gamebred Submission FightingTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan O'ReillyNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze59%
Brendan O'Reilly 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 59% favorite over Brendan O'Reilly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan O'Reilly's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1526), separated by just 1 points.
Brendan O'Reilly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brendan O'Reilly finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Niklas Stolze carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.