Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Jason DeLucia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record33-21-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
81"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1554
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538
Jason DeLuciaNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroJason DeLucia
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (21%)
7 (41%)
Submission
13 (39%)
1 (6%)
Decision
13 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendson Ribeiro70%
Jason DeLucia 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 70% favorite over Jason DeLucia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1544), separated by just 10 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jason DeLucia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Jason DeLucia 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.