Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Paulin Begai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paulin Begai
fr

Paulin Begai

“Le Chaat”

8-5-1Light HeavyweightAFC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record8-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
81"Reach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Paulin BegaiNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroPaulin Begai
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brendson Ribeiro and Paulin Begai within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Paulin Begai 63%.

Brendson Ribeiro and Paulin Begai share 1 common opponent: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2026
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
LossSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2024