Bret Bergmark vs Danny Roberts
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-1Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam McHale
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bret BergmarkDanny Roberts
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bret Bergmark56%
Danny Roberts 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bret Bergmark a 56% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.
Bret Bergmark enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bret Bergmark finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.