Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Geraghty vs Korey Taylor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-18-1Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachN/A
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeamGracie Barra South Jax

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian GeraghtyNow 1578
If they win+12→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1566
Korey TaylorNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.47
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
9.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
36%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian GeraghtyKorey Taylor
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
14 (54%)
Submission
1 (25%)
5 (19%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Korey Taylor70%
Brian Geraghty 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Korey Taylor a 70% favorite over Brian Geraghty in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Geraghty's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1575), separated by just 3 points.

Brian Geraghty finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Korey Taylor 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.