Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Courtney Turner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Courtney Turner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+21→ 1494
If they lose-27→ 1446
Courtney TurnerNow 1434
If they win+27→ 1461
If they lose-21→ 1413

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonCourtney Turner
1450199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton62%
Courtney Turner 38%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 62% favorite over Courtney Turner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1434, a 39-point edge.

Courtney Turner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.