Brian Stapleton vs Dan Barrera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"HeightTBD
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stapleton53%
Dan Barrera 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 53% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Barrera's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1483), separated by just 10 points.
Dan Barrera 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.