Brian Stapleton vs Jan Šťastný
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
N/AReach-
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-23→ 1453
If they win+23→ 1513
If they lose-25→ 1465
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian StapletonJan Šťastný
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stapleton59%
Jan Šťastný 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 59% favorite over Jan Šťastný in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jan Šťastný's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1490), separated by just 14 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.