Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Lopes vs Sullivan Cauley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bruno Lopes
br

Bruno Lopes

“Brunao”

14-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record8-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach76"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno LopesNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Sullivan CauleyNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
1.93
Takedown avg.
Not available
22%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Bruno LopesSullivan Cauley
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bruno Lopes and Sullivan Cauley within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sullivan Cauley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.

Sullivan Cauley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.