Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Santos vs David Wright

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamLovato's School of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SantosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
David WrightNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bruno SantosDavid Wright
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (50%)
17 (89%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Wright60%
Bruno Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Wright a 60% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.

Bruno Santos finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, David Wright 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.