Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Silva vs Geane Herrera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-2Record10-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
65"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamBanks MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SilvaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Geane HerreraNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
1.51
51%
Strike accuracy
31%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
52%
Strike defense
53%
2.01
Takedown avg.
0.83
25%
Takedown accuracy
38%
72%
Takedown defense
38%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Bruno SilvaGeane Herrera
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (33%)
Submission
6 (60%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Silva60%
Geane Herrera 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Silva a 60% favorite over Geane Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Geane Herrera's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.

Bruno Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Geane Herrera 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.