Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Logan vs Dan Holt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Holt
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Dan Holt

“The Villain”

4-2-0WelterweightCFFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record4-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach75"
156 lbsWeight160 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce LoganNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
Dan HoltNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Bryce LoganDan Holt
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (62%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Holt60%
Bryce Logan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Holt a 60% favorite over Bryce Logan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryce Logan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Holt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bryce Logan finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Dan Holt 50%.

Dan Holt carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.