Combat Edge Intelligence

Cássio Barão vs Shunta Nomura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-1Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Dyogo Teles MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cássio BarãoNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Shunta NomuraNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cássio BarãoShunta Nomura
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Shunta Nomura52%
Cássio Barão 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shunta Nomura a 52% favorite over Cássio Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.

Cássio Barão enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cássio Barão finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Shunta Nomura 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.