Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Bittencourt vs Jeremiah Billington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record11-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight195 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BittencourtNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Jeremiah BillingtonNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
63%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.06
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Caio BittencourtJeremiah Billington
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
4 (22%)
Submission
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Bittencourt70%
Jeremiah Billington 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Bittencourt a 70% favorite over Jeremiah Billington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1573), separated by just 3 points.

Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Billington 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.