Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Bittencourt vs Richard Muzaan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record6-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BittencourtNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Richard MuzaanNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Caio BittencourtRichard Muzaan
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
4 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Richard Muzaan56%
Caio Bittencourt 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richard Muzaan a 56% favorite over Caio Bittencourt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caio Bittencourt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Richard Muzaan 100%.

Richard Muzaan carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.