Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Marcos Mariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record7-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamKiller Bees

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Marcos MarianoNow 1508
If they win+17→ 1525
If they lose-15→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Callum HaughianMarcos Mariano
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian63%
Marcos Mariano 37%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 63% favorite over Marcos Mariano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1508), separated by just 11 points.

Marcos Mariano 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.