Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Nathan Trepagnier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach67"
149 lbsWeight160 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Nathan TrepagnierNow 1505
If they win+17→ 1522
If they lose-15→ 1490

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Callum HaughianNathan Trepagnier
150020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Callum Haughian and Nathan Trepagnier within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1505), separated by just 14 points.

Nathan Trepagnier 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.