Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Noah Hermosillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record0-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Happy Valley

What's at stake

Callum Haughian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Noah Hermosillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Noah HermosilloNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian61%
Noah Hermosillo 39%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 61% favorite over Noah Hermosillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Callum Haughian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1500, a 19-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.