Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Tenya Yoshimura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record5-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach-
149 lbsWeight156 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1521
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497
Tenya YoshimuraNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Callum HaughianTenya Yoshimura
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Tenya Yoshimura57%
Callum Haughian 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tenya Yoshimura a 57% favorite over Callum Haughian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1523), separated by just 2 points.

Tenya Yoshimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tenya Yoshimura 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.