Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Phillipe Nover

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"Reach72,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Phillipe NoverNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
55%
Strike defense
56%
5
Takedown avg.
0.99
42%
Takedown accuracy
29%
0%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranPhillipe Nover
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (27%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (27%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran79%
Phillipe Nover 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 79% favorite over Phillipe Nover in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phillipe Nover's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Phillipe Nover 55%.

Phillipe Nover carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.