Cara Greenwell vs Silvana Gómez Juárez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record11-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
69"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team Impact TulsaTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
Silvana Gómez Juárez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Cara Greenwell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1552
If they lose-23→ 1504
If they win+15→ 1562
If they lose-17→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cara GreenwellSilvana Gómez Juárez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cara Greenwell87%
Silvana Gómez Juárez 13%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 87% favorite over Silvana Gómez Juárez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Silvana Gómez Juárez's way (47%).
Silvana Gómez Juárez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1547 to 1527, a 20-point edge.
Silvana Gómez Juárez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cara Greenwell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Silvana Gómez Juárez 82%.
Cara Greenwell carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.