Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlo Pedersoli Jr. vs Eliezer Kubanza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach74.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMATeamSoma Fight Club

What's at stake

Eliezer Kubanza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Carlo Pedersoli Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlo Pedersoli Jr.Now 1646
If they win+17→ 1663
If they lose-15→ 1631
Eliezer KubanzaNow 1672
If they win+15→ 1687
If they lose-17→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.17
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
2.91
Takedown avg.
TBD
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlo Pedersoli Jr.Eliezer Kubanza
1650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (11%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Eliezer Kubanza84%
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 16%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Eliezer Kubanza a 84% favorite over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Eliezer Kubanza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1646, a 26-point edge.

Eliezer Kubanza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlo Pedersoli Jr. finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Eliezer Kubanza 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.