Carlo Pedersoli Jr. vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Aurora MMATeamWCA Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk63%
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 63% favorite over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlo Pedersoli Jr.'s way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. and Tymoteusz Łopaczyk share 1 common opponent: Madars Fleminas.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
Win Rear Naked Choke · 2022
LossDecision (Split) · 2025