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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Calderon vs Erasyl Shukataev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record13-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
Havoc MMATeamAlmas Kyrandary

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos CalderonNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Erasyl ShukataevNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Carlos CalderonErasyl Shukataev
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
6 (60%)
Submission
6 (46%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Calderon53%
Erasyl Shukataev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Calderon a 53% favorite over Erasyl Shukataev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erasyl Shukataev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Carlos Calderon enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlos Calderon finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Erasyl Shukataev 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.