Carlos Leal vs Kevin Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record20-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74"Reach77"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1661 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos LealKevin Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Leal53%
Kevin Lee 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 53% favorite over Kevin Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1711), separated by just 2 points.
Carlos Leal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Lee 60%.
Carlos Leal and Kevin Lee share 1 common opponent: Rinat Fakhretdinov.
Kevin Lee carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.