Combat Edge Intelligence

Caros Fodor vs Tariq Pell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caros Fodor
us

Caros Fodor

“The Future”

11-6-0LightweightPFL

1609Solid
Tariq Pell
gb-eng

Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

8-2-0LightweightCWFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamBlood Sweat and Tears

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caros FodorNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Tariq PellNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Caros FodorTariq Pell
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
5 (45%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell70%
Caros Fodor 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 70% favorite over Caros Fodor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caros Fodor's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Caros Fodor finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Pell 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.