Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Kenney vs Hecher Sosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hecher Sosa
es

Hecher Sosa

“Guanche Warrior”

15-1-0BantamweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

16-4-1Record15-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamAnimal Fight Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Hecher SosaNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
43%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.87
58%
Strike defense
55%
1.09
Takedown avg.
4
36%
Takedown accuracy
36%
61%
Takedown defense
100%
0.43
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Casey KenneyHecher Sosa
160016501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
5 (31%)
Submission
2 (14%)
9 (56%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Casey Kenney52%
Hecher Sosa 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Casey Kenney a 52% favorite over Hecher Sosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hecher Sosa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hecher Sosa enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Hecher Sosa 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.