Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Kenney vs Said Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-4-1Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1684 avg Elo · 22 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Said NurmagomedovNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
43%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
58%
Strike defense
56%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0.86
36%
Takedown accuracy
15%
61%
Takedown defense
63%
0.43
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Casey KenneySaid Nurmagomedov
170017502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
5 (31%)
Submission
6 (33%)
9 (56%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Said Nurmagomedov64%
Casey Kenney 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 64% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1727), separated by just 2 points.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.