Ce Liu vs Christian Wellisch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record8-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight234 lbs
CFPTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
If they win+17→ 1555
If they lose-15→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ce LiuChristian Wellisch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ce Liu63%
Christian Wellisch 37%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 63% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1538), separated by just 11 points.
Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Christian Wellisch 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.