Combat Edge Intelligence

Ce Liu vs John Paul Elias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ce Liu
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Ce Liu

3-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
CFPTeamPro Buhawe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ce LiuNow 1549
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
John Paul EliasNow 1538
If they win+25→ 1563
If they lose-23→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1479 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ce LiuJohn Paul Elias
1550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ce Liu51%
John Paul Elias 49%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 51% favorite over John Paul Elias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1538), separated by just 11 points.

Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Paul Elias 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.