Combat Edge Intelligence

Cesar Arzamendia vs Fabiano Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fabiano Silva
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Fabiano Silva

“Jacarezinho”

33-19-1LightweightFNC

1508Average

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record33-19-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'5"
71,0"Reach67"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Paraguay Combat TeamTeamX-Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cesar ArzamendiaNow 1501
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
Fabiano SilvaNow 1508
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
7.32
Takedown avg.
Not available
75%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.44
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cesar ArzamendiaFabiano Silva
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
13 (39%)
4 (40%)
Submission
12 (36%)
4 (40%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cesar Arzamendia and Fabiano Silva within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1508), separated by just 7 points.

Cesar Arzamendia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fabiano Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Cesar Arzamendia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Fabiano Silva 76%.

Cesar Arzamendia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.