Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Anheliger vs Daniel Araújo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
64"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamBonfim Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad AnheligerNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Daniel AraújoNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.51
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad AnheligerDaniel Araújo
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (23%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Araújo92%
Chad Anheliger 8%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Araújo a 92% favorite over Chad Anheliger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Anheliger's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1632), separated by just 0 points.

Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Araújo 78%.

Daniel Araújo carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.