Chad Hanekom vs César Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamLotus MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad HanekomCésar Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
César Almeida51%
Chad Hanekom 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 51% favorite over Chad Hanekom in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Hanekom's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1628), separated by just 3 points.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chad Hanekom finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.
Chad Hanekom and César Almeida share 1 common opponent: Dylan Budka.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.